Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
No 63%
$385.68
$-6.4K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 81.8¢ | $4.6K | — | $-4.6K | 48% 4844-5167 (10011) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 81.8¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 52% 2600-2381 (4981) |
 VeryLucky888 | Yesavg 26.8¢ | $64.05 | $239.13 | +$175.08 | 54% 2045-1764 (3809) |
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $145.07 | $145.22 | +$0.15 | 99% 911-2 (913) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 75.7¢ | $311.37 | — | -$311.37 | 38% 1454-2390 (3844) |
VE VenusianCTR | Noavg 71.1¢ | $244.91 | — | -$244.91 | 38% 1462-2368 (3830) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $0.33 | $1.33 | +$1 | 56% 703-544 (1247) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Noavg 15¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 35% 674-1228 (1902) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Yesavg 20.5¢ | $29.77 | — | +$115.31 | 25% 1366-4155 (5521) |
Invested
$4,641.99
Value
—
PnL
$-4.6K
Record
48%
4844-5167 (10011)
Invested
$1,459.46
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
52%
2600-2381 (4981)
VeryLucky888Invested
$64.05
Value
$239.13
PnL
+$175.08
Record
54%
2045-1764 (3809)
Invested
$145.07
Value
$145.22
PnL
+$0.15
Record
99%
911-2 (913)
Invested
$311.37
Value
—
PnL
-$311.37
Record
38%
1454-2390 (3844)
Invested
$244.91
Value
—
PnL
-$244.91
Record
38%
1462-2368 (3830)
Invested
$0.33
Value
$1.33
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
703-544 (1247)
Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
35%
674-1228 (1902)
Invested
$29.77
Value
—
PnL
+$115.31
Record
25%
1366-4155 (5521)