Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Alianza FC — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Alianza FC
Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)
Resolved Alianza FC. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Alianza FC. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Alianza FC 50%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$46.45
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VeryLucky888 | Alianza FCavg 68.4¢ | $1.4K | $2.1K | +$665 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Millonarios FCavg 32.1¢ | $687.12 | — | -$687.12 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Millonarios FCavg 30.1¢ | $124.1 | $44.59 | -$79.51 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| └ Millonarios FC leg | Millonarios FCavg 30.1¢ | $85.72 | — | -$85.72 | |
| └ Alianza FC leg | Alianza FCavg 86.1¢ | $38.38 | $44.59 | +$6.21 | |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Millonarios FCavg 30.8¢ | $29.52 | — | -$29.52 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Alianza FCavg 71.3¢ | $10.7 | $15 | +$4.3 | 41% 708-1019 (1727) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Alianza FCavg 57.1¢ | $8 | $14 | +$6 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Millonarios FCavg 36¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Millonarios FCavg 33¢ | $12.31 | — | +$1.89 | 84% 243-48 (291) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Alianza FCavg 50¢ | $190 | — | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
VeryLucky888Invested
$1,441.66
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$665
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
Invested
$687.12
Value
—
PnL
-$687.12
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$124.1
Value
$44.59
PnL
-$79.51
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.52
Value
—
PnL
-$29.52
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$10.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.3
Record
41%
708-1019 (1727)
Invested
$8
Value
$14
PnL
+$6
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$12.31
Value
—
PnL
+$1.89
Record
84%
243-48 (291)
Invested
$190
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
VeryLucky888
Alianza FC — $2.1K
GoalLineGhost
CTRMillonarios FC — $0
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LightParadox
CTRMillonarios FC — $0
ameisgoat11
Alianza FC — $15
topdogbigboi
Alianza FC — $14
Limousin
CTRMillonarios FC — $0
Vampiro1
CTRMillonarios FC — $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Alianza FC — $0