Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-13?
14 of 23 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (61%) · Yes at 100¢ · $6K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
23
Yes 61%
2 arb excluded
$6.4K
-$545.46
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 57.5¢ | $4.5K | $4.2K | -$284.07 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
 Secondhandvinyl | Yesavg 95.7¢ | $746.18 | $774.95 | +$28.77 | 74% 207-71 (278) |
NO NotJump | Yesavg 94¢ | $387.55 | $305.79 | -$81.76 | 53% 750-669 (1419) |
AR ARocky33 | Yesavg 49.6¢ | $86.3 | $173.92 | +$87.62 | 78% 780-220 (1000) |
 dips. | Yesavg 43.8¢ | $78.52 | $132.59 | +$54.07 | 47% 860-963 (1823) |
 poshposhARB<$100 | Yesavg 68.8¢ | $136.58 | $115.7 | -$20.88 | 48% 1014-1100 (2114) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 68.8¢ | $84.88 | $91.26 | +$6.38 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 55¢ | $51.71 | $24.44 | -$27.26 | |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 55¢ | $232.36 | $107.22 | -$119.67 | 53% 1179-1029 (2208) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Yesavg 55¢ | $106.49 | $105.38 | -$1.11 | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 55¢ | $57.98 | $78.01 | +$20.03 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 46.1¢ | $48.5 | $27.37 | -$21.14 | |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $35 | $79.51 | +$44.51 | 37% 497-832 (1329) |
GC GC-PCTR | Noavg 55¢ | $164.8 | $77.91 | -$86.9 | 36% 317-553 (870) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Yesavg 54¢ | $54 | $74 | +$20 | 53% 6885-6020 (12905) |
 RN1<$100 | Yesavg 64.6¢ | $45.89 | $52.55 | +$6.66 | 56% 5043-4004 (9047) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 17.7¢ | $156.32 | $49.45 | -$106.87 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | $96.25 | $45.5 | -$50.75 | 60% 3726-2536 (6262) |
US User7429<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $25 | $39.36 | +$14.36 | 39% 293-459 (752) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $17.22 | $27.55 | +$10.33 | 29% 298-747 (1045) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 55.1¢ | $43.69 | $20.63 | -$23.06 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Yesavg 44.2¢ | $11.93 | $19.17 | +$7.24 | 43% 915-1235 (2150) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 49¢ | $5.39 | $8.14 | +$2.75 | 45% 706-873 (1579) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $5 | $7.4 | +$2.4 | 64% 527-296 (823) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Noavg 55.2¢ | $13.8 | $6.5 | -$7.3 | 40% 609-910 (1519) |
TH thirdt1meCTR<$100 | Noavg 26.4¢ | $89.06 | $5.96 | -$87.51 | 48% 243-263 (506) |
SU suntori<$100 | Yesavg 55¢ | $2.18 | $3.96 | +$1.78 | 46% 2333-2789 (5122) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Noavg 7.4¢ | $2.43 | $2.31 | -$0.12 | 44% 599-749 (1348) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 3.9¢ | $22.89 | $0.73 | +$22.05 | 49% 1865-1975 (3840) |
Invested
$4,469.7
Value
$4.2K
PnL
-$284.07
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$746.18
Value
$774.95
PnL
+$28.77
Record
74%
207-71 (278)
Invested
$387.55
Value
$305.79
PnL
-$81.76
Record
53%
750-669 (1419)
Invested
$86.3
Value
$173.92
PnL
+$87.62
Record
78%
780-220 (1000)
dips.Invested
$78.52
Value
$132.59
PnL
+$54.07
Record
47%
860-963 (1823)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$136.58
Value
$115.7
PnL
-$20.88
Record
48%
1014-1100 (2114)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$232.36
Value
$107.22
PnL
-$119.67
Record
53%
1179-1029 (2208)
Invested
$106.49
Value
$105.38
PnL
-$1.11
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
Both legs:
Invested
$35
Value
$79.51
PnL
+$44.51
Record
37%
497-832 (1329)
Invested
$164.8
Value
$77.91
PnL
-$86.9
Record
36%
317-553 (870)
Invested
$54
Value
$74
PnL
+$20
Record
53%
6885-6020 (12905)
RN1<$100Invested
$45.89
Value
$52.55
PnL
+$6.66
Record
56%
5043-4004 (9047)
Invested
$156.32
Value
$49.45
PnL
-$106.87
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$96.25
Value
$45.5
PnL
-$50.75
Record
60%
3726-2536 (6262)
Invested
$25
Value
$39.36
PnL
+$14.36
Record
39%
293-459 (752)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$17.22
Value
$27.55
PnL
+$10.33
Record
29%
298-747 (1045)
Invested
$43.69
Value
$20.63
PnL
-$23.06
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
Invested
$11.93
Value
$19.17
PnL
+$7.24
Record
43%
915-1235 (2150)
Invested
$5.39
Value
$8.14
PnL
+$2.75
Record
45%
706-873 (1579)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.4
PnL
+$2.4
Record
64%
527-296 (823)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$6.5
PnL
-$7.3
Record
40%
609-910 (1519)
Invested
$89.06
Value
$5.96
PnL
-$87.51
Record
48%
243-263 (506)
Invested
$2.18
Value
$3.96
PnL
+$1.78
Record
46%
2333-2789 (5122)
Invested
$2.43
Value
$2.31
PnL
-$0.12
Record
44%
599-749 (1348)
Invested
$22.89
Value
$0.73
PnL
+$22.05
Record
49%
1865-1975 (3840)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Yes — $4.2K
Secondhandvinyl
Yes — $774.95
NotJump
Yes — $305.79
ARocky33
Yes — $173.92
dips.
Yes — $132.59
poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
VeryLucky888
CTRNo — $107.22
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Yes — $79.51
GC-P
CTRNo — $77.91