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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

CA Bucaramanga vs. Fortaleza FC: O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Under 64%

Total Value

$2.8K

Combined PnL

$210.42

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 15 top traders (60%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders

Total Value$2.8K

Total Shares2,778

Combined PnL+$1.9K

Under9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,019

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Over — 40%Under — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Overavg 37.9¢	$847.29	$2.2K	+$1.3K	53% 2249-2030 (4279)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 42.5¢	$534.92	—	-$534.92	49% 4123-4317 (8440)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 16.1¢	$78.87	$358.32	+$279.45	38% 1175-1954 (3129)
CI cigarettes	Overavg 24¢	$48	$200	+$152	53% 7213-6305 (13518)
MA MadridTimeCTR	Underavg 29¢	$316.54	—	-$316.54	38% 1094-1794 (2888)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Overavg 89.9¢	$25.19	$28.02	+$2.83	99% 518-7 (525)
LI LightParadox<$100	Overavg 15¢	$3	$20	+$17	37% 1085-1829 (2914)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100	Underavg 5.5¢	$55.73	—	-$55.73	46% 316-377 (693)
VE VenusianCTR	Underavg 38.8¢	$368.16	—	-$368.16	37% 1070-1834 (2904)
LI LimousinCTR	Underavg 37.8¢	$116.04	—	-$116.04	37% 1064-1806 (2870)
poshposhCTR<$100	Underavg 5.9¢	$17.7	—	-$17.7	49% 1233-1293 (2526)
dips.CTR<$100	Underavg 14¢	$40.31	—	-$40.31	47% 1041-1174 (2215)
SM smithagentCTR	Underavg 92.3¢	$180.88	—	-$180.88	45% 717-880 (1597)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100	Underavg 85¢	$17	—	-$17	83% 802-165 (967)
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000	Overavg 73.4¢	$226.35	$0.01	+$81.65	25% 63-191 (254)

Invested

$847.29

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

53%

2249-2030 (4279)

Invested

$534.92

Value

—

PnL

-$534.92

Record

49%

4123-4317 (8440)

Invested

$78.87

Value

$358.32

PnL

+$279.45

Record

38%

1175-1954 (3129)

Invested

$48

Value

$200

PnL

+$152

Record

53%

7213-6305 (13518)

Invested

$316.54

Value

—

PnL

-$316.54

Record

38%

1094-1794 (2888)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Invested

$25.19

Value

$28.02

PnL

+$2.83

Record

99%

518-7 (525)

LightParadox<$100

Invested

$3

Value

$20

PnL

+$17

Record

37%

1085-1829 (2914)

alpheclabs2CTR<$100

Invested

$55.73

Value

—

PnL

-$55.73

Record

46%

316-377 (693)

Invested

$368.16

Value

—

PnL

-$368.16

Record

37%

1070-1834 (2904)

Invested

$116.04

Value

—

PnL

-$116.04

Record

37%

1064-1806 (2870)

poshposhCTR<$100

Invested

$17.7

Value

—

PnL

-$17.7

Record

49%

1233-1293 (2526)

Invested

$40.31

Value

—

PnL

-$40.31

Record

47%

1041-1174 (2215)

Invested

$180.88

Value

—

PnL

-$180.88

Record

45%

717-880 (1597)

ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100

Invested

$17

Value

—

PnL

-$17

Record

83%

802-165 (967)

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

Invested

$226.35

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$81.65

Record

25%

63-191 (254)

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 15 top traders (60%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdcc62661...11a445

Slug

col1-cab-foc-2026-11-14-total-0pt5

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

Over — $2.2K

Flaznorp

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Over — $358.32

cigarettes

Over — $200

MadridTime

Under — $0

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Over — $28.02

LightParadox

Over — $20

alpheclabs2

Under — $0

Venusian

Under — $0

Limousin

Under — $0

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