Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will CD Tolima win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
No 79%
$9.2K
-$725.08
Smart Money Signal
19 of 24 top traders (79%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() alpheclabs2 | Noavg 93¢ | $3.1K | $3.3K | +$232.41 | 46% 326-390 (716) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 42.5¢ | $3.3K | $1.8K | $-1.5K | 49% 4276-4505 (8781) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 51¢ | $448.6 | $879.26 | +$430.66 | 37% 1136-1943 (3079) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 71¢ | $1.0K | $737.07 | -$291.43 | 52% 2345-2123 (4468) |
TH thirdt1me | Noavg 56.2¢ | $409.55 | $728.67 | +$319.12 | 48% 304-328 (632) |
SU suitcase6628 | Noavg 96.2¢ | $740.2 | $573.35 | +$3.15 | 65% 662-359 (1021) |
![]() dips. | Noavg 96.2¢ | $328.41 | $330.19 | +$8.44 | 48% 1108-1208 (2316) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 92.8¢ | $256.68 | $276.63 | +$19.95 | 36% 563-1018 (1581) |
SM smithagent | Noavg 96.2¢ | $367.85 | $193.8 | +$2.15 | 46% 769-917 (1686) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 71.2¢ | $109.16 | $119.18 | +$10.02 | 38% 1276-2064 (3340) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | $84.18 | $86.78 | +$2.6 | 38% 1162-1897 (3059) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Noavg 34¢ | $25.76 | $75.76 | +$50 | 55% 5637-4683 (10320) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $39.5 | $50 | +$10.5 | 53% 7302-6365 (13667) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $17.37 | $18.88 | +$1.51 | 37% 1155-1943 (3098) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $12.94 | $16.17 | +$3.23 | 51% 954-911 (1865) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $30.74 | $8.06 | +$2.32 | 37% 440-762 (1202) |
![]() tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | $7.23 | $6.97 | -$0.26 | 32% 412-857 (1269) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 45% 423-515 (938) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | $1.75 | $5 | +$3.25 | 37% 1136-1917 (3053) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 50.3¢ | $9.8 | $4.6 | +$5.3 | 48% 2318-2517 (4835) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $9.64 | — | -$9.64 | 41% 497-710 (1207) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $0.66 | — | -$0.66 | 49% 313-320 (633) |
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 31¢ | $23.25 | — | -$23.25 | 62% 239-145 (384) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 54% 1599-1379 (2978) |
alpheclabs2Invested
$3,087.71
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$232.41
Record
46%
326-390 (716)
Invested
$3,287.41
Value
$1.8K
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
49%
4276-4505 (8781)
Invested
$448.6
Value
$879.26
PnL
+$430.66
Record
37%
1136-1943 (3079)
Invested
$1,028.5
Value
$737.07
PnL
-$291.43
Record
52%
2345-2123 (4468)
Invested
$409.55
Value
$728.67
PnL
+$319.12
Record
48%
304-328 (632)
Invested
$740.2
Value
$573.35
PnL
+$3.15
Record
65%
662-359 (1021)
dips.Invested
$328.41
Value
$330.19
PnL
+$8.44
Record
48%
1108-1208 (2316)
Invested
$256.68
Value
$276.63
PnL
+$19.95
Record
36%
563-1018 (1581)
Invested
$367.85
Value
$193.8
PnL
+$2.15
Record
46%
769-917 (1686)
Invested
$109.16
Value
$119.18
PnL
+$10.02
Record
38%
1276-2064 (3340)
Invested
$84.18
Value
$86.78
PnL
+$2.6
Record
38%
1162-1897 (3059)
RN1<$100Invested
$25.76
Value
$75.76
PnL
+$50
Record
55%
5637-4683 (10320)
Invested
$39.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$10.5
Record
53%
7302-6365 (13667)
Invested
$17.37
Value
$18.88
PnL
+$1.51
Record
37%
1155-1943 (3098)
Invested
$12.94
Value
$16.17
PnL
+$3.23
Record
51%
954-911 (1865)
Invested
$30.74
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$2.32
Record
37%
440-762 (1202)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$7.23
Value
$6.97
PnL
-$0.26
Record
32%
412-857 (1269)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
45%
423-515 (938)
Invested
$1.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.25
Record
37%
1136-1917 (3053)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$4.6
PnL
+$5.3
Record
48%
2318-2517 (4835)
Invested
$9.64
Value
—
PnL
-$9.64
Record
41%
497-710 (1207)
Invested
$0.66
Value
—
PnL
-$0.66
Record
49%
313-320 (633)
Invested
$23.25
Value
—
PnL
-$23.25
Record
62%
239-145 (384)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
54%
1599-1379 (2978)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

alpheclabs2
No — $3.3K
Flaznorp
CTRYes — $1.8K
Venusian
No — $879.26
GoalLineGhost
No — $737.07
thirdt1me
No — $728.67
suitcase6628
No — $573.35

dips.
No — $330.19
LuckyLoo
No — $276.63
smithagent
No — $193.8
topdogbigboi
No — $119.18