Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Qairat FK β but Atalanta BC won instead.

Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)
Resolved Atalanta BC. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Qairat FK. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Qairat FK 83%
$60.01
$56.56
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Atalanta BCavg 98.9Β’ | $160.79 | $60.01 | +$55.69 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
FL Flaznorp | Atalanta BCavg 94.7Β’ | $1.5K | β | +$85.02 | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Qairat FKavg 5.8Β’ | $78.88 | β | -$78.88 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Qairat FKavg 1.2Β’ | $0.78 | β | -$0.78 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Qairat FKavg 1.3Β’ | $1.07 | β | -$1.07 | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Qairat FKavg 1.2Β’ | $1.21 | β | -$1.21 | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Qairat FKavg 5.1Β’ | $32.21 | β | -$2.21 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
Invested
$160.79
Value
$60.01
PnL
+$55.69
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
Invested
$1,509.97
Value
β
PnL
+$85.02
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Invested
$78.88
Value
β
PnL
-$78.88
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
Invested
$0.78
Value
β
PnL
-$0.78
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$1.07
Value
β
PnL
-$1.07
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$1.21
Value
β
PnL
-$1.21
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$32.21
Value
β
PnL
-$2.21
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)