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YesYesYesNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will FC Blau Weiss Linz win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$70.3
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares259
Combined PnL-$59.8
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$10.5
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CA canupdatelateronCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.5 | 68% 27-13 (40) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $108.31 | — | -$53.64 | 28% 3241-8219 (11460) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $31.84 | $0 | -$10.5 | 39% 3708-5917 (9625) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 25% 1331-4013 (5344) |
CA
canupdatelateronCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
68%
27-13 (40)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
QW
qwen300.fundCTRInvested
$108.31
Value
—
PnL
-$53.64
Record
28%
3241-8219 (11460)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$31.84
Value
$0
PnL
-$10.5
Record
39%
3708-5917 (9625)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
25%
1331-4013 (5344)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4cc1d894...884b41
Slug
clf-reg-bwl-2026-11-14-bwl