Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
RB Leipzig vs. Mlada Boleslav: O/U 6.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Over 67%
1 arb excluded
$6.2K
$1.2K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 32.7Β’ | $3.2K | $1.6K | $-1.7K | 51% 2526-2431 (4957) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 60.2Β’ | $956.36 | $1.6K | +$632.13 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 32.7Β’ | $2.3K | β | $-2.3K | |
NE Next-Licensing | Overavg 66Β’ | $1.8K | $2.8K | +$951.98 | 97% 103-3 (106) |
![]() fxwd12345 | Overavg 66Β’ | $586.08 | $887.99 | +$301.92 | 76% 22-7 (29) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 99Β’ | $874.12 | $882.95 | +$8.83 | 99% 235-3 (238) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 34Β’ | $44.07 | β | -$44.07 | 41% 543-780 (1323) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 33.9Β’ | $45.64 | β | -$40.92 | 50% 1226-1249 (2475) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7<$100 | Overavg 13Β’ | $1.99 | $15.31 | +$13.32 | 15% 29-166 (195) |
Invested
$3,241.71
Value
$1.6K
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
51%
2526-2431 (4957)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,847.97
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$951.98
Record
97%
103-3 (106)
fxwd12345Invested
$586.08
Value
$887.99
PnL
+$301.92
Record
76%
22-7 (29)
Invested
$874.12
Value
$882.95
PnL
+$8.83
Record
99%
235-3 (238)
Invested
$44.07
Value
β
PnL
-$44.07
Record
41%
543-780 (1323)
Invested
$45.64
Value
β
PnL
-$40.92
Record
50%
1226-1249 (2475)
Invested
$1.99
Value
$15.31
PnL
+$13.32
Record
15%
29-166 (195)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Next-Licensing
Over β $2.8K

fxwd12345
Over β $887.99
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over β $882.95
sentrio
CTRUnder β $0
ferdinand2
CTRUnder β $0
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7
Over β $15.31