Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
RB Leipzig vs. Mlada Boleslav: O/U 5.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Over 100%
1 arb excluded
$1.7K
$66.3
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NE Next-Licensing | Overavg 94Β’ | $853.71 | $908.2 | +$54.49 | 97% 103-3 (106) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 33.7Β’ | $1.3K | $526.59 | -$760.77 | 51% 2526-2431 (4957) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 70.1Β’ | $368.92 | $526.59 | +$157.66 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 33.7Β’ | $918.43 | β | -$918.43 | |
RO Rocky31 | Overavg 95.9Β’ | $186.79 | $194.78 | +$7.99 | 30% 52-119 (171) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Overavg 95Β’ | $47.5 | $50 | +$2.5 | 54% 428-364 (792) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 20Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0 | 50% 1226-1249 (2475) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA | Overavg 99Β’ | $144.79 | β | +$1.32 | 82% 369-79 (448) |
Invested
$853.71
Value
$908.2
PnL
+$54.49
Record
97%
103-3 (106)
Invested
$1,287.35
Value
$526.59
PnL
-$760.77
Record
51%
2526-2431 (4957)
Both legs:
Invested
$186.79
Value
$194.78
PnL
+$7.99
Record
30%
52-119 (171)
Invested
$47.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$2.5
Record
54%
428-364 (792)
Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0
Record
50%
1226-1249 (2475)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$144.79
Value
β
PnL
+$1.32
Record
82%
369-79 (448)