Back to Markets
JohnLKellyJrCTROverUnderUnder
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22CTROverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
RB Leipzig vs. Mlada Boleslav: RB Leipzig O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 40%
Total Value
$4.1K
Combined PnL
-$118.39
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,343
Combined PnL$-2.2K
Under3 traders
Total Value$4.1K
Total Shares4,110
Combined PnL+$2.0K
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JohnLKellyJrCTR | Overavg 49.7¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.0K | 59% 13-9 (22) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 50.2¢ | $1.5K | $3.1K | +$1.5K | 51% 2526-2431 (4957) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Underavg 51¢ | $509.12 | $998.27 | +$489.15 | 32% 294-619 (913) |
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22CTR | Overavg 48¢ | $144 | — | -$144 | — 5-2 (7) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $17.32 | $34.64 | +$17.32 | 50% 1226-1249 (2475) |
JohnLKellyJrCTRInvested
$2,010.74
Value
—
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
59%
13-9 (22)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,547.48
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
51%
2526-2431 (4957)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846Invested
$509.12
Value
$998.27
PnL
+$489.15
Record
32%
294-619 (913)
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22CTRInvested
$144
Value
—
PnL
-$144
Record
—
5-2 (7)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$17.32
Value
$34.64
PnL
+$17.32
Record
50%
1226-1249 (2475)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x09821815...1706a7
Slug
clf-rbl-mbl-2026-11-12-team-total-home-4pt5