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NoNoNoYesYes
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will RB Leipzig vs. Mlada Boleslav end in a draw?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
-$53.47
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$87.86
Total Shares88
Combined PnL+$6.3
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares172
Combined PnL-$59.77
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 77.6¢ | $1.9K | $1.4K | -$471.2 | 51% 2526-2431 (4957) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 77.6¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$319.18 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 27.2¢ | $790.38 | — | -$790.38 | |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | $41.92 | $45.08 | +$3.16 | 48% 510-557 (1067) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | $36.08 | $38.23 | +$2.15 | 41% 543-780 (1323) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.9¢ | $47 | — | -$41.01 | 50% 1226-1249 (2475) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30.5¢ | $7.37 | — | -$7.37 | 47% 1547-1731 (3278) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $3.55 | $4.55 | +$1 | 82% 369-79 (448) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $36.08 | — | -$11.39 | 43% 2575-3401 (5976) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$1,893.64
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$471.2
Record
51%
2526-2431 (4957)
Both legs:
No$1,103.2677.6¢+$319.18
Yes$790.3827.2¢-$790.38
0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100Invested
$41.92
Value
$45.08
PnL
+$3.16
Record
48%
510-557 (1067)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$36.08
Value
$38.23
PnL
+$2.15
Record
41%
543-780 (1323)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$47
Value
—
PnL
-$41.01
Record
50%
1226-1249 (2475)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$7.37
Value
—
PnL
-$7.37
Record
47%
1547-1731 (3278)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$4.55
PnL
+$1
Record
82%
369-79 (448)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$36.08
Value
—
PnL
-$11.39
Record
43%
2575-3401 (5976)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf62d639e...d56695
Slug
clf-rbl-mbl-2026-11-12-draw