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No
BasquetipsterCTRYesNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-12?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 40%
Total Value
$3.5K
Combined PnL
$343.22
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$3.5K
Total Shares3,456
Combined PnL+$513.83
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares223
Combined PnL-$170.62
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 65.4¢ | $2.9K | $3.4K | +$508.83 | 51% 2532-2437 (4969) |
BasquetipsterCTR | Yesavg 66¢ | $130 | — | -$130 | 10% 9-80 (89) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $15 | $20 | +$5 | 33% 302-622 (924) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $5.58 | — | -$7.22 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
FE ferdinand2CTR | Yesavg 60.9¢ | $102.67 | — | -$33.4 | 49% 1228-1254 (2482) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $192 | — | +$0 | 83% 93-19 (112) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$2,927.13
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$508.83
Record
51%
2532-2437 (4969)
BasquetipsterCTRInvested
$130
Value
—
PnL
-$130
Record
10%
9-80 (89)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$15
Value
$20
PnL
+$5
Record
33%
302-622 (924)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$7.22
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
FE
ferdinand2CTRInvested
$102.67
Value
—
PnL
-$33.4
Record
49%
1228-1254 (2482)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$192
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
93-19 (112)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe33c102f...e2acd6
Slug
clf-kar-ver-2026-11-12-kar