Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Yes β but No won instead.
Will Mladost DG win on 2026-11-12?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Yes 71%
$1.0K
-$701.87
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 45.7Β’ | $1.1K | β | $-1.1K | 51% 2526-2431 (4957) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Noavg 50.9Β’ | $494.33 | $970.54 | +$476.21 | 32% 294-619 (913) |
BL BlackMamba08CTR<$100 | Yesavg 30.9Β’ | $61.72 | β | -$61.72 | β 6-3 (9) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 43.4Β’ | $26.92 | β | -$26.92 | 41% 543-780 (1323) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 68Β’ | $28.31 | $41.63 | +$13.32 | 53% 6080-5449 (11529) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 56.3Β’ | $9.06 | β | -$9.06 | 50% 1226-1249 (2475) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27Β’ | $2.7 | β | -$2.7 | 47% 1547-1731 (3278) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 50Β’ | $17 | β | +$0 | 83% 93-19 (112) |
Invested
$1,091.01
Value
β
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
51%
2526-2431 (4957)
Invested
$494.33
Value
$970.54
PnL
+$476.21
Record
32%
294-619 (913)
Invested
$61.72
Value
β
PnL
-$61.72
Record
β
6-3 (9)
Invested
$26.92
Value
β
PnL
-$26.92
Record
41%
543-780 (1323)
Invested
$28.31
Value
$41.63
PnL
+$13.32
Record
53%
6080-5449 (11529)
Invested
$9.06
Value
β
PnL
-$9.06
Record
50%
1226-1249 (2475)
Invested
$2.7
Value
β
PnL
-$2.7
Record
47%
1547-1731 (3278)
Invested
$17
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
93-19 (112)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTRYes β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
No β $970.54
BlackMamba08
CTRYes β $0
sentrio
CTRYes β $0
cigarettes
No β $41.63
ferdinand2
CTRYes β $0
suntori
CTRYes β $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRYes β $0