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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will FK Iskra Danilovgrad win on 2026-11-12?

Resolved Yes. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

No 88%

Total Value

$819.06

Combined PnL

$-4.7K

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,256

Combined PnL$-4.7K

Yes2 traders

Total Value$819.06

Total Shares819

Combined PnL+$0.87

No — 78%Yes — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Noavg 76.5¢	$2.7K	—	$-2.7K	51% 2526-2431 (4957)
LO looppau	Yesavg 99.9¢	$818.18	$819	+$0.82	100% 369-0 (369)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	Noavg 77.9¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	32% 294-619 (913)
SE sentrioCTR	Noavg 77¢	$472.83	—	-$472.83	41% 543-780 (1323)
SU suntoriCTR	Noavg 53.9¢	$390.73	—	-$385.55	47% 1547-1731 (3278)
BL BlackMamba08CTR<$100	Noavg 42¢	$29.92	—	-$29.92	— 6-3 (9)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Noavg 42¢	$17.48	—	-$17.48	53% 6080-5449 (11529)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Noavg 50¢	$387	—	-$1	83% 93-19 (112)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Yesavg 21¢	$0.01	$0.06	+$0.05	50% 1226-1249 (2475)

Invested

$2,742.59

Value

—

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

51%

2526-2431 (4957)

Invested

$818.18

Value

$819

PnL

+$0.82

Record

100%

369-0 (369)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

Invested

$1,065.88

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

32%

294-619 (913)

Invested

$472.83

Value

—

PnL

-$472.83

Record

41%

543-780 (1323)

Invested

$390.73

Value

—

PnL

-$385.55

Record

47%

1547-1731 (3278)

BlackMamba08CTR<$100

Invested

$29.92

Value

—

PnL

-$29.92

Record

—

6-3 (9)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

$17.48

Value

—

PnL

-$17.48

Record

53%

6080-5449 (11529)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$387

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

83%

93-19 (112)

ferdinand2<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

$0.06

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

1226-1249 (2475)

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x47192992...cf31ff

Slug

clf-fid-mla-2026-11-12-fid

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

No — $0

looppau

Yes — $819

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

No — $0

sentrio

No — $0

suntori

No — $0

BlackMamba08

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

No — $0

ferdinand2

Yes — $0.06

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