Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Meppen 1912: O/U 4.5

Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Under 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$409.25

Combined PnL

-$19.99

Under

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Over0%

Under100%

Under3 traders

Total Value$362.48

Total Shares362

Combined PnL-$12.24

Over2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares63

Combined PnL-$7.75

Under — 60%Over — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Underavg 86.9¢	$368.22	$353.43	-$14.79	51% 2532-2437 (4969)
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Overavg 5.2¢	$81.08	$46.77	-$34.31	55% 1640-1346 (2986)
└ Under leg	Underavg 84.5¢	$39.5	$46.77	+$7.27
└ Over leg	Overavg 5.2¢	$41.58	—	-$41.58
SE sentrio<$100	Underavg 71¢	$4.65	$6.55	+$1.9	41% 544-784 (1328)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Underavg 74¢	$1.85	$2.5	+$0.65	49% 1228-1254 (2482)
RN1CTR<$100	Overavg 10.3¢	$5.85	—	-$5.85	56% 4482-3456 (7938)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Overavg 29¢	$1.9	—	-$1.9	47% 1583-1774 (3357)