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Under
ER72SEN<$100OverUnderUnderOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Meppen 1912: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$57.41
Combined PnL
-$618.54
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,394
Combined PnL-$623.74
Over2 traders
Total Value$57.41
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$5.19
Under β 60%Over β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 26.1Β’ | $598.49 | β | -$598.49 | 51% 2532-2437 (4969) |
![]() ER72SEN<$100 | Overavg 91.1Β’ | $50.32 | $55.23 | +$4.91 | β 9-2 (11) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 26.5Β’ | $20.48 | β | -$20.48 | 49% 1228-1254 (2482) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 14.4Β’ | $4.76 | β | -$4.76 | 55% 1640-1346 (2986) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 87Β’ | $1.9 | $2.18 | +$0.28 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$598.49
Value
β
PnL
-$598.49
Record
51%
2532-2437 (4969)
ER72SEN<$100Invested
$50.32
Value
$55.23
PnL
+$4.91
Record
β
9-2 (11)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$20.48
Value
β
PnL
-$20.48
Record
49%
1228-1254 (2482)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
β
PnL
-$4.76
Record
55%
1640-1346 (2986)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$2.18
PnL
+$0.28
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x91b45421...019e5d
Slug
clf-dsc-mep-2026-11-12-total-1pt5