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YesYesYesYesNo
RN1CTR<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-11-12?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
-$197.93
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,530
Combined PnL-$184.43
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares56
Combined PnL-$13.5
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 83.8¢ | $705.4 | $727.32 | +$21.92 | 55% 1640-1346 (2986) |
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 81.2¢ | $678.74 | $423.17 | -$255.58 | 51% 2532-2437 (4969) |
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $294.08 | $294.37 | +$0.29 | 100% 373-0 (373) |
SU suntori | Yesavg 69.4¢ | $126.79 | $85.21 | +$48.93 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 23.6¢ | $6.72 | — | -$6.72 | 49% 1228-1254 (2482) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 32.8¢ | $4.76 | — | -$4.76 | 56% 4482-3456 (7938) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 24.1¢ | $1.87 | — | -$1.87 | 41% 544-784 (1328) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Noavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 33% 302-622 (924) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$705.4
Value
$727.32
PnL
+$21.92
Record
55%
1640-1346 (2986)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$678.74
Value
$423.17
PnL
-$255.58
Record
51%
2532-2437 (4969)
LO
looppauInvested
$294.08
Value
$294.37
PnL
+$0.29
Record
100%
373-0 (373)
SU
suntoriInvested
$126.79
Value
$85.21
PnL
+$48.93
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$6.72
Value
—
PnL
-$6.72
Record
49%
1228-1254 (2482)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
—
PnL
-$4.76
Record
56%
4482-3456 (7938)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$1.87
Value
—
PnL
-$1.87
Record
41%
544-784 (1328)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
33%
302-622 (924)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcce7325b...8323ca
Slug
clf-dsc-mep-2026-11-12-dsc