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KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100NoNo
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$10.24
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$10.24
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $5.2 | — | -$10.24 | 76% 525-162 (687) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 76.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20996-13355 (34351) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6490-5699 (12189) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 34¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 305-1161 (1466) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15340-27420 (42760) |
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.24
Record
76%
525-162 (687)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20996-13355 (34351)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6490-5699 (12189)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
305-1161 (1466)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15340-27420 (42760)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6539f85a...cca487
Slug
choosin-texas-ella-langley-2-spotify-song-in-the-us-this-week-october-30