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NoYesYes
VeryLucky888<$100NoYes
tradecraftCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 33%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$470.69
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$840.5
Total Shares840
Combined PnL+$628.41
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares229
Combined PnL-$157.73
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 21.4¢ | $201.97 | $824.56 | +$622.59 | 52% 2510-2301 (4811) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 46.6¢ | $888.21 | $176.84 | -$711.37 | 49% 4712-4983 (9695) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 46.6¢ | $777.85 | — | -$777.85 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 62.4¢ | $110.37 | $176.84 | +$66.47 | |
SU suntoriCTR | Yesavg 69.7¢ | $114.95 | — | -$114.95 | 46% 3336-3878 (7214) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 64.4¢ | $12.39 | $15.94 | +$5.82 | 53% 1923-1675 (3598) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 75.4¢ | $31.6 | — | -$26.6 | 48% 2576-2780 (5356) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 34¢ | $5.96 | — | -$5.96 | 35% 485-917 (1402) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $10.21 | — | -$10.21 | 59% 751-515 (1266) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$201.97
Value
$824.56
PnL
+$622.59
Record
52%
2510-2301 (4811)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$888.21
Value
$176.84
PnL
-$711.37
Record
49%
4712-4983 (9695)
Both legs:
Yes$777.8546.6¢-$777.85
No$110.3762.4¢+$66.47
SU
suntoriCTRInvested
$114.95
Value
—
PnL
-$114.95
Record
46%
3336-3878 (7214)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$12.39
Value
$15.94
PnL
+$5.82
Record
53%
1923-1675 (3598)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$31.6
Value
—
PnL
-$26.6
Record
48%
2576-2780 (5356)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$5.96
Value
—
PnL
-$5.96
Record
35%
485-917 (1402)
LO
lonmi2511CTR<$100Invested
$10.21
Value
—
PnL
-$10.21
Record
59%
751-515 (1266)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x045c4250...42aacb
Slug
chl2-sw-cop-2026-11-15-cop