Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Yes β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Shaanxi Union FC win on 2026-11-07?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Yes 50%
1 arb excluded
$503.25
$115.69
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() oieshfn345 | Yesavg 52Β’ | $134.6 | $251.99 | +$124.42 | 57% 2107-1561 (3668) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 95.1Β’ | $170.41 | $176.46 | +$6.05 | 50% 28899-28703 (57602) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 42.8Β’ | $498.57 | $74.8 | -$423.77 | 51% 27051-25620 (52671) |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 75.3Β’ | $56.29 | $74.8 | +$18.51 | |
| β No leg | Noavg 42.8Β’ | $442.27 | β | -$442.27 | |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 51Β’ | $9.76 | β | -$9.76 | 50% 26383-26006 (52389) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 29Β’ | $5.02 | β | -$5.02 | 53% 62287-54524 (116811) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | No | β | β | +$0 | 25% 516-1551 (2067) |
oieshfn345Invested
$134.6
Value
$251.99
PnL
+$124.42
Record
57%
2107-1561 (3668)
Invested
$170.41
Value
$176.46
PnL
+$6.05
Record
50%
28899-28703 (57602)
Invested
$498.57
Value
$74.8
PnL
-$423.77
Record
51%
27051-25620 (52671)
Both legs:
Invested
$9.76
Value
β
PnL
-$9.76
Record
50%
26383-26006 (52389)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$5.02
Value
β
PnL
-$5.02
Record
53%
62287-54524 (116811)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
516-1551 (2067)