Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
21
Under 67%
$2.5K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 21 top traders (67%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9 | Overavg 30.6Β’ | $900.8 | $1.8K | +$882.79 | 59% 348-244 (592) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 70.8Β’ | $277.31 | $228.49 | -$48.82 | 49% 13651-14457 (28108) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 68.9Β’ | $648.97 | $132.75 | -$516.22 | 52% 605-551 (1156) |
![]() poshposh | Overavg 71Β’ | $146.17 | $129.23 | -$16.94 | 58% 11657-8494 (20151) |
CI cigarettesCTR | Underavg 36.1Β’ | $213.55 | $118.15 | -$95.4 | 54% 21772-18817 (40589) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $95.57 | $77.71 | -$17.86 | 54% 629-546 (1175) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 78Β’ | $32.88 | $22.73 | -$10.16 | 50% 34946-34393 (69339) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 85Β’ | $15.61 | $18.36 | +$2.75 | 74% 1801-617 (2418) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 46Β’ | $5.06 | $11 | +$5.94 | 47% 8896-9990 (18886) |
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100 | Overavg 29Β’ | $3 | $0 | -$1.03 | 50% 1304-1315 (2619) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 31.1Β’ | $1.8K | β | $-1.8K | 51% 21008-19991 (40999) |
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 26Β’ | $1.5K | β | +$515.81 | 54% 58447-50668 (109115) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 34.1Β’ | $1.2K | β | -$78.74 | 50% 26666-26573 (53239) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 86Β’ | $40.85 | β | -$40.85 | 59% 31063-21779 (52842) |
IW iWasEnoughCTR<$100 | Underavg 86Β’ | $20.4 | β | -$20.4 | 51% 11480-10851 (22331) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 76Β’ | $0.01 | β | -$0.01 | 54% 626-537 (1163) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 48% 5733-6182 (11915) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Underavg 88.7Β’ | $68.31 | β | -$68.31 | 48% 5180-5537 (10717) |
AP apprentice15CTR | Underavg 63Β’ | $503.99 | β | +$191.98 | 43% 492-665 (1157) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Underavg 73.5Β’ | $435.25 | β | +$59.24 | 47% 10297-11504 (21801) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 27.2Β’ | $54.13 | β | -$54.13 | 52% 6768-6135 (12903) |
Invested
$900.8
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$882.79
Record
59%
348-244 (592)
Invested
$277.31
Value
$228.49
PnL
-$48.82
Record
49%
13651-14457 (28108)
Invested
$648.97
Value
$132.75
PnL
-$516.22
Record
52%
605-551 (1156)
poshposhInvested
$146.17
Value
$129.23
PnL
-$16.94
Record
58%
11657-8494 (20151)
Invested
$213.55
Value
$118.15
PnL
-$95.4
Record
54%
21772-18817 (40589)
Invested
$95.57
Value
$77.71
PnL
-$17.86
Record
54%
629-546 (1175)
Invested
$32.88
Value
$22.73
PnL
-$10.16
Record
50%
34946-34393 (69339)
Invested
$15.61
Value
$18.36
PnL
+$2.75
Record
74%
1801-617 (2418)
Invested
$5.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.94
Record
47%
8896-9990 (18886)
Invested
$3
Value
$0
PnL
-$1.03
Record
50%
1304-1315 (2619)
Invested
$1,763.65
Value
β
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
51%
21008-19991 (40999)
RN1CTRInvested
$1,456.2
Value
β
PnL
+$515.81
Record
54%
58447-50668 (109115)
Invested
$1,176.1
Value
β
PnL
-$78.74
Record
50%
26666-26573 (53239)
Invested
$40.85
Value
β
PnL
-$40.85
Record
59%
31063-21779 (52842)
Invested
$20.4
Value
β
PnL
-$20.4
Record
51%
11480-10851 (22331)
Invested
$0.01
Value
β
PnL
-$0.01
Record
54%
626-537 (1163)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
48%
5733-6182 (11915)
Invested
$68.31
Value
β
PnL
-$68.31
Record
48%
5180-5537 (10717)
Invested
$503.99
Value
β
PnL
+$191.98
Record
43%
492-665 (1157)
Invested
$435.25
Value
β
PnL
+$59.24
Record
47%
10297-11504 (21801)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$54.13
Value
β
PnL
-$54.13
Record
52%
6768-6135 (12903)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Over β $1.8K
LuckyLoo
Over β $228.49
Venusian
CTRUnder β $132.75

poshposh
Over β $129.23
cigarettes
CTRUnder β $118.15
LightParadox
CTRUnder β $77.71
SnakeBall
Over β $22.73
Rocky31
Over β $18.36
lryyy
Over β $11
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69
Over β $0