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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 47.5

Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Under 82%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$6.7K

Combined PnL

$1.9K

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under9 traders

Total Value$5.4K

Total Shares5,389

Combined PnL+$2.2K

Over3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares620

Combined PnL-$278.86

Under — 75%Over — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primmARB<$100	Overavg 48.6¢	$3.2K	$1.3K	$-1.9K	59% 1150-783 (1933)
└ Under leg	Underavg 57¢	$726.75	$1.3K	+$548.25
└ Over leg	Overavg 48.6¢	$2.4K	—	$-2.4K
JU justaluckydude	Underavg 55¢	$760.05	$1.4K	+$623.09	49% 636-649 (1285)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Underavg 55¢	$675.38	$1.2K	+$546.08	50% 2799-2804 (5603)
RN1	Underavg 55¢	$778.39	$762.79	-$15.6	54% 5936-5005 (10941)
38 38791873984189	Underavg 40.1¢	$830.88	$849.08	+$532.51	48% 3854-4218 (8072)
TO topdogbigboi	Underavg 49.4¢	$204.31	$413.69	+$209.38	39% 1502-2375 (3877)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Underavg 38.1¢	$945.57	$365.48	+$210.46	55% 1947-1613 (3560)
65 6512395314597884	Underavg 75¢	$239.02	$200	-$39.02	50% 4027-4028 (8055)
PA Pan9X	Underavg 46.3¢	$169.46	$173.69	+$102.01	50% 2098-2139 (4237)
LI LimousinCTR	Overavg 45¢	$270.94	—	-$270.94	38% 1276-2118 (3394)
NO NotJump<$100	Underavg 37¢	$7.4	$20	+$12.6	50% 1068-1058 (2126)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Overavg 44¢	$7.92	—	-$7.92	38% 1301-2146 (3447)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Overavg 50¢	$1.8K	—	+$0	65% 144-79 (223)

Invested

$3,158.68

Value

$1.3K

PnL

$-1.9K

Record

59%

1150-783 (1933)

Both legs:

Under$726.7557¢+$548.25

Over$2,431.9348.6¢$-2.4K

Invested

$760.05

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$623.09

Record

49%

636-649 (1285)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Invested

$675.38

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$546.08

Record

50%

2799-2804 (5603)

Invested

$778.39

Value

$762.79

PnL

-$15.6

Record

54%

5936-5005 (10941)

Invested

$830.88

Value

$849.08

PnL

+$532.51

Record

48%

3854-4218 (8072)

Invested

$204.31

Value

$413.69

PnL

+$209.38

Record

39%

1502-2375 (3877)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$945.57

Value

$365.48

PnL

+$210.46

Record

55%

1947-1613 (3560)

6512395314597884

Invested

$239.02

Value

$200

PnL

-$39.02

Record

50%

4027-4028 (8055)

Invested

$169.46

Value

$173.69

PnL

+$102.01

Record

50%

2098-2139 (4237)

Invested

$270.94

Value

—

PnL

-$270.94

Record

38%

1276-2118 (3394)

Invested

$7.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$12.6

Record

50%

1068-1058 (2126)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$7.92

Value

—

PnL

-$7.92

Record

38%

1301-2146 (3447)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$1,756

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

144-79 (223)

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1cebe318...6cbd34

Slug

cfb-wyom-utep-2026-11-14-total-47pt5

Traders in this Market

primm

Arbitrage — excluded

justaluckydude

Under — $1.4K

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $1.2K

RN1

Under — $762.79

38791873984189

Under — $849.08

topdogbigboi

Under — $413.69

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Under — $365.48

6512395314597884

Under — $200

Pan9X

Under — $173.69

Limousin

Over — $0

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