Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Wyoming β but UTEP won instead.

Spread: Wyoming (-17.5)
Resolved UTEP. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Wyoming. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Wyoming 50%
$1.2K
-$37.82
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primm | UTEPavg 33Β’ | $345.51 | $1.0K | +$701.49 | 59% 1150-783 (1933) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | UTEPavg 95Β’ | $56.05 | $59 | +$2.95 | 58% 3901-2845 (6746) |
![]() dips.<$100 | UTEPavg 95Β’ | $56.05 | $59 | +$2.95 | 48% 1270-1353 (2623) |
![]() RN1CTR | Wyomingavg 67Β’ | $541.36 | β | -$541.36 | 54% 5936-5005 (10941) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Wyomingavg 45.5Β’ | $154.01 | β | -$154.01 | 50% 4027-4028 (8055) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Wyomingavg 66.5Β’ | $49.83 | β | -$49.83 | 50% 2098-2139 (4237) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Wyomingavg 50Β’ | $903 | β | +$0 | 65% 144-79 (223) |
Invested
$345.51
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$701.49
Record
59%
1150-783 (1933)
Invested
$56.05
Value
$59
PnL
+$2.95
Record
58%
3901-2845 (6746)
dips.<$100Invested
$56.05
Value
$59
PnL
+$2.95
Record
48%
1270-1353 (2623)
RN1CTRInvested
$541.36
Value
β
PnL
-$541.36
Record
54%
5936-5005 (10941)
Invested
$154.01
Value
β
PnL
-$154.01
Record
50%
4027-4028 (8055)
Invested
$49.83
Value
β
PnL
-$49.83
Record
50%
2098-2139 (4237)
Invested
$903
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
144-79 (223)