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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Wyoming β€” but UTEP won instead.

Spread: Wyoming (-14.5)

Resolved UTEP. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Wyoming. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Wyoming 44%

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

$86.97

Smart Money Signal

Wyoming

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Wyoming0%
UTEP100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

UTEP6 traders
Total Value$2.9K
Total Shares2,900
Combined PnL+$1.6K
Wyoming4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,773
Combined PnL$-1.5K
UTEP β€” 60%Wyoming β€” 40%