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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Wyoming — but UTEP won instead.

Spread: Wyoming (-13.5)

Resolved UTEP. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Wyoming. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Wyoming 70%

Total Value

$6.1K

Combined PnL

-$138.23

Smart Money Signal

Wyoming

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Wyoming0%

UTEP100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

UTEP3 traders

Total Value$6.1K

Total Shares6,092

Combined PnL+$3.6K

Wyoming8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares6,315

Combined PnL$-3.7K

UTEP — 27%Wyoming — 73%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primm	UTEPavg 37.4¢	$2.2K	$5.9K	+$3.7K	59% 1150-783 (1933)
RN1CTR	Wyomingavg 62.4¢	$2.6K	—	$-2.6K	54% 5936-5005 (10941)
JU justaluckydudeCTR	Wyomingavg 33.3¢	$321.71	—	-$321.71	49% 636-649 (1285)
65 6512395314597884CTR	Wyomingavg 57.5¢	$594.07	—	-$594.07	50% 4027-4028 (8055)
38 38791873984189	UTEPavg 66.2¢	$577.25	$214.76	-$128.22	48% 3854-4218 (8072)
PA Pan9XCTR	Wyomingavg 71.1¢	$177.85	—	-$151.12	50% 2098-2139 (4237)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100	Wyomingavg 59.2¢	$19.08	—	-$19.08	55% 1947-1613 (3560)
NO NotJump<$100	UTEPavg 44¢	$2.2	$5	+$2.8	50% 1068-1058 (2126)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Wyomingavg 44¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	50% 2799-2804 (5603)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Wyomingavg 71¢	$3.93	—	-$3.93	39% 1502-2375 (3877)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Wyomingavg 50¢	$254	—	+$0	65% 144-79 (223)

Invested

$2,194.13

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$3.7K

Record

59%

1150-783 (1933)

Invested

$2,598.96

Value

—

PnL

$-2.6K

Record

54%

5936-5005 (10941)

justaluckydudeCTR

Invested

$321.71

Value

—

PnL

-$321.71

Record

49%

636-649 (1285)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$594.07

Value

—

PnL

-$594.07

Record

50%

4027-4028 (8055)

Invested

$577.25

Value

$214.76

PnL

-$128.22

Record

48%

3854-4218 (8072)

Invested

$177.85

Value

—

PnL

-$151.12

Record

50%

2098-2139 (4237)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100

Invested

$19.08

Value

—

PnL

-$19.08

Record

55%

1947-1613 (3560)

Invested

$2.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.8

Record

50%

1068-1058 (2126)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

50%

2799-2804 (5603)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$3.93

Value

—

PnL

-$3.93

Record

39%

1502-2375 (3877)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$254

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

144-79 (223)

Smart Money Signal

Wyoming

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xd83a9794...a30361

Slug

cfb-wyom-utep-2026-11-14-spread-away-13pt5

Traders in this Market

primm

UTEP — $5.9K

RN1

Wyoming — $0

justaluckydude

Wyoming — $0

6512395314597884

Wyoming — $0

38791873984189

UTEP — $214.76

Pan9X

Wyoming — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Wyoming — $0

NotJump

UTEP — $5

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Wyoming — $0

topdogbigboi

Wyoming — $0

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