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UnderUnderOverOverOver
dips.CTR<$100Over
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 65.5
Resolved Under. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Under 33%
Total Value
$2.1K
Combined PnL
$1.2
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,060
Combined PnL+$82.99
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,030
Combined PnL-$81.79
Under — 33%Over — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PA pagliacci4 | Underavg 96¢ | $1.9K | $2.0K | +$80 | 70% 73-32 (105) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100 | Underavg 95¢ | $56.81 | $59.8 | +$2.99 | 55% 1630-1337 (2967) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $60 | — | -$60 | 48% 3273-3600 (6873) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 48% 281-306 (587) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 53% 7192-6289 (13481) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 5¢ | $2.99 | — | -$2.99 | 47% 1014-1141 (2155) |
PA
pagliacci4Invested
$1,920
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$80
Record
70%
73-32 (105)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100Invested
$56.81
Value
$59.8
PnL
+$2.99
Record
55%
1630-1337 (2967)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$60
Value
—
PnL
-$60
Record
48%
3273-3600 (6873)
GA
GaditimaCTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
48%
281-306 (587)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
53%
7192-6289 (13481)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$2.99
Value
—
PnL
-$2.99
Record
47%
1014-1141 (2155)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd4350e05...e99c9f
Slug
cfb-wisc-mary-2026-11-14-total-65pt5