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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Utah State — but San Diego State won instead.

Spread: San Diego State (-16.5)

Resolved San Diego State. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Utah State. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Utah State 44%

Total Value

$3.9K

Combined PnL

-$378.48

Smart Money Signal

Utah State

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

San Diego State100%
Utah State0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

San Diego State5 traders
Total Value$3.9K
Total Shares3,948
Combined PnL+$2.4K
Utah State4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,983
Combined PnL$-2.8K
San Diego State — 56%Utah State — 44%
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
San Diego State

Invested

$498.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$967.67

Record

58%

3890-2826 (6716)

38
38791873984189
San Diego State

Invested

$360

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$698.82

Record

48%

3837-4187 (8024)

JU
justaluckydude
San Diego State

Invested

$181.07

Value

$953

PnL

+$771.93

Record

49%

631-647 (1278)

LO
looppau
San Diego State

Invested

$369.63

Value

$370

PnL

+$0.37

Record

99%

801-2 (803)

GA
Gaditima
San Diego State

Invested

$91.15

Value

$100

PnL

+$8.85

Record

49%

363-380 (743)

RN1CTR
Utah State

Invested

$379.6

Value

—

PnL

-$379.6

Record

54%

5924-4982 (10906)

TA
takeormakeCTR
Utah State

Invested

$2,438.43

Value

—

PnL

$-2.4K

Record

57%

3675-2741 (6416)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100
Utah State

Invested

$6.91

Value

—

PnL

-$6.91

Record

50%

2792-2794 (5586)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Utah State

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

39%

1498-2355 (3853)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x295721c0...0992f9
Slug
cfb-utahst-sdst-2026-11-14-spread-home-16pt5

Traders in this Market

0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

San Diego State — $1.5K

+$967.67
38

38791873984189

San Diego State — $1.1K

+$698.82
JU

justaluckydude

San Diego State — $953

+$771.93
LO

looppau

San Diego State — $370

+$0.37
GA

Gaditima

San Diego State — $100

+$8.85

RN1

CTR

Utah State — $0

-$379.6
TA

takeormake

CTR

Utah State — $0

$-2.4K
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

CTR

Utah State — $0

-$6.91
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Utah State — $0

-$1.2
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