Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 75.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Under 57%
$397.33
-$424.43
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 70Β’ | $545.34 | β | -$545.34 | 54% 5936-5005 (10941) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Overavg 30Β’ | $77.5 | $258.33 | +$180.83 | 41% 692-1008 (1700) |
TA takeormake | Overavg 56Β’ | $56 | $100 | +$44 | 57% 3676-2741 (6417) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Underavg 70.8Β’ | $45.36 | β | -$45.36 | 55% 1947-1613 (3560) |
![]() Dr.mett<$100 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $38.96 | $39 | +$0.04 | 92% 23-2 (25) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Underavg 71.7Β’ | $55.09 | β | -$55.09 | 50% 2098-2139 (4237) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 66Β’ | $3.5 | β | -$3.5 | 48% 3854-4218 (8072) |
RN1CTRInvested
$545.34
Value
β
PnL
-$545.34
Record
54%
5936-5005 (10941)
Invested
$77.5
Value
$258.33
PnL
+$180.83
Record
41%
692-1008 (1700)
Invested
$56
Value
$100
PnL
+$44
Record
57%
3676-2741 (6417)
Invested
$45.36
Value
β
PnL
-$45.36
Record
55%
1947-1613 (3560)
Dr.mett<$100Invested
$38.96
Value
$39
PnL
+$0.04
Record
92%
23-2 (25)
Invested
$55.09
Value
β
PnL
-$55.09
Record
50%
2098-2139 (4237)
Invested
$3.5
Value
β
PnL
-$3.5
Record
48%
3854-4218 (8072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

RN1
CTRUnder β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Over β $258.33
takeormake
Over β $100
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRUnder β $0

Dr.mett
Over β $39
Pan9X
CTRUnder β $0
38791873984189
CTRUnder β $0