Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was UNLV β and it was correct. Winning outcome: UNLV

Spread: New Mexico (-23.5)
Resolved UNLV. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held UNLV. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
UNLV 33%
1 arb excluded
$3.9K
-$217.05
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primmARB<$100 | UNLVavg 53.9Β’ | $2.3K | $2.5K | +$154.92 | 59% 1075-754 (1829) |
| β UNLV leg | UNLVavg 53.9Β’ | $1.3K | $2.5K | +$1.2K | |
| β New Mexico leg | New Mexicoavg 45Β’ | $1,000 | β | -$1,000 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | New Mexicoavg 46Β’ | $1.4K | β | -$707.06 | 58% 3808-2767 (6575) |
38 38791873984189 | UNLVavg 55Β’ | $550 | $1.0K | +$450 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
![]() dips. | UNLVavg 55Β’ | $243.1 | $442 | +$198.9 | 48% 1176-1281 (2457) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | New Mexicoavg 49.4Β’ | $92.15 | β | -$92.15 | 38% 1390-2228 (3618) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | New Mexicoavg 48.4Β’ | $64.07 | β | -$64.07 | 50% 1931-1953 (3884) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | New Mexicoavg 42Β’ | $2.33 | β | -$2.33 | 54% 5793-4838 (10631) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | New Mexicoavg 40Β’ | $0.34 | β | -$0.34 | 50% 2728-2703 (5431) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | New Mexicoavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$2,348.58
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$154.92
Record
59%
1075-754 (1829)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,357.11
Value
β
PnL
-$707.06
Record
58%
3808-2767 (6575)
Invested
$550
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$450
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
dips.Invested
$243.1
Value
$442
PnL
+$198.9
Record
48%
1176-1281 (2457)
Invested
$92.15
Value
β
PnL
-$92.15
Record
38%
1390-2228 (3618)
Invested
$64.07
Value
β
PnL
-$64.07
Record
50%
1931-1953 (3884)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.33
Value
β
PnL
-$2.33
Record
54%
5793-4838 (10631)
Invested
$0.34
Value
β
PnL
-$0.34
Record
50%
2728-2703 (5431)
Invested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
primm
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRNew Mexico β $0
38791873984189
UNLV β $1.0K

dips.
UNLV β $442
topdogbigboi
CTRNew Mexico β $0
Pan9X
CTRNew Mexico β $0

RN1
CTRNew Mexico β $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRNew Mexico β $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRNew Mexico β $0