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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Texas A&M — but Tennessee won instead.

Spread: Tennessee (-7.5)

Resolved Tennessee. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Texas A&M. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Texas A&M 44%

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

-$511.71

Smart Money Signal

Texas A&M

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Tennessee100%

Texas A&M0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Tennessee5 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares3,068

Combined PnL+$1.3K

Texas A&M4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,006

Combined PnL$-1.8K

Tennessee — 56%Texas A&M — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SA SaylorMoon	Tennesseeavg 29.6¢	$496.56	$1.7K	+$1.2K	10% 6-55 (61)
RN1	Tennesseeavg 62.4¢	$886.09	$975	+$88.91	55% 5525-4565 (10090)
LO looppau	Tennesseeavg 99.9¢	$289.19	$289.48	+$0.29	100% 721-0 (721)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Tennesseeavg 98¢	$139.5	$100	-$39.5	55% 1703-1404 (3107)
PA Pan9X<$100	Tennesseeavg 53.7¢	$93.71	$25.99	+$22.28	49% 1694-1746 (3440)
38 38791873984189CTR	Texas A&Mavg 70.4¢	$1.4K	—	-$933.18	47% 3383-3741 (7124)
BI biying88888CTR	Texas A&Mavg 46¢	$680.8	—	-$680.8	44% 216-270 (486)
65 6512395314597884CTR	Texas A&Mavg 38.1¢	$136.1	—	-$136.1	50% 3874-3873 (7747)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Texas A&Mavg 70.5¢	$14.21	—	-$14.21	53% 1938-1717 (3655)

Invested

$496.56

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

10%

6-55 (61)

Invested

$886.09

Value

$975

PnL

+$88.91

Record

55%

5525-4565 (10090)

Invested

$289.19

Value

$289.48

PnL

+$0.29

Record

100%

721-0 (721)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$139.5

Value

$100

PnL

-$39.5

Record

55%

1703-1404 (3107)

Invested

$93.71

Value

$25.99

PnL

+$22.28

Record

49%

1694-1746 (3440)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$1,430.79

Value

—

PnL

-$933.18

Record

47%

3383-3741 (7124)

Invested

$680.8

Value

—

PnL

-$680.8

Record

44%

216-270 (486)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$136.1

Value

—

PnL

-$136.1

Record

50%

3874-3873 (7747)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

$14.21

Value

—

PnL

-$14.21

Record

53%

1938-1717 (3655)

Smart Money Signal

Texas A&M

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xed48d412...e40c84

Slug

cfb-tenn-txam-2026-11-14-spread-away-7pt5

Traders in this Market

SaylorMoon

Tennessee — $1.7K

RN1

Tennessee — $975

looppau

Tennessee — $289.48

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Tennessee — $100

Pan9X

Tennessee — $25.99

38791873984189

Texas A&M — $0

biying88888

Texas A&M — $0

6512395314597884

Texas A&M — $0

ghorrock

Texas A&M — $0

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