Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Iowa β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Iowa

Spread: Iowa (-10.5)
Resolved Iowa. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Iowa. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Iowa 40%
$1.3K
$295.02
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO Forecastication2 | Iowaavg 70Β’ | $470.34 | $671.92 | +$201.58 | 45% 298-371 (669) |
PU purplegatto | Iowaavg 71.5Β’ | $433.49 | $606 | +$172.51 | 68% 2661-1247 (3908) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Purdueavg 29Β’ | $72.5 | β | -$72.5 | 49% 341-352 (693) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Purdueavg 29Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 38% 3759-6065 (9824) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Purdueavg 29Β’ | $1.45 | β | -$1.45 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Purdueavg 30Β’ | $0.12 | β | -$0.12 | 50% 3988-3981 (7969) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Purdueavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$470.34
Value
$671.92
PnL
+$201.58
Record
45%
298-371 (669)
Invested
$433.49
Value
$606
PnL
+$172.51
Record
68%
2661-1247 (3908)
Invested
$72.5
Value
β
PnL
-$72.5
Record
49%
341-352 (693)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
38%
3759-6065 (9824)
Invested
$1.45
Value
β
PnL
-$1.45
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
Invested
$0.12
Value
β
PnL
-$0.12
Record
50%
3988-3981 (7969)
Invested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)