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Missouri State
RN1CTR<$100New Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico State
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was New Mexico State — but Missouri State won instead.
Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)
Resolved Missouri State. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held New Mexico State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
New Mexico State 80%
Total Value
$250
Combined PnL
$109.2
Smart Money Signal
New Mexico State
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Missouri State100%
New Mexico State0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Missouri State1 trader
Total Value$250
Total Shares250
Combined PnL+$155
New Mexico State4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares74
Combined PnL-$45.8
Missouri State — 20%New Mexico State — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Missouri Stateavg 38¢ | $95 | $250 | +$155 | 39% 593-921 (1514) |
RN1CTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 62¢ | $31 | — | -$31 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 61¢ | $7.43 | — | -$7.43 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 62¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | New Mexico Stateavg 61.1¢ | $1.79 | — | -$1.79 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846Invested
$95
Value
$250
PnL
+$155
Record
39%
593-921 (1514)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$31
Value
—
PnL
-$31
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
65
6512395314597884CTR<$100Invested
$7.43
Value
—
PnL
-$7.43
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$1.79
Value
—
PnL
-$1.79
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1cd26c47...bb2bb0
Slug
cfb-nmxst-msrst-2026-11-14-spread-home-2pt5