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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 63.5

Resolved Over. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Under 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over2 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,148

Combined PnL+$615.63

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,950

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Over — 29%Under — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1ARB<$100	Underavg 50.2¢	$1.1K	$805.98	-$321.96	55% 5525-4565 (10090)
└ Over leg	Overavg 27¢	$217.61	$805.98	+$588.37
└ Under leg	Underavg 50.2¢	$910.33	—	-$910.33
OM omnibus-076daa	Overavg 43¢	$378.28	$879.72	+$501.44	46% 526-624 (1150)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Underavg 47¢	$518.57	—	-$518.57	50% 2600-2575 (5175)
PR primmCTR	Underavg 73¢	$582.54	—	-$582.54	60% 1016-678 (1694)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 51.4¢	$332.72	$267.93	+$114.19	55% 1703-1404 (3107)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 49.6¢	$374.91	—	-$272.12	47% 3383-3741 (7124)
65 6512395314597884CTR	Underavg 48¢	$192	—	-$192	50% 3874-3873 (7747)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Underavg 47.1¢	$53.12	—	-$53.12	49% 1694-1746 (3440)

Invested

$1,127.94

Value

$805.98

PnL

-$321.96

Record

55%

5525-4565 (10090)

Both legs:

Over$217.6127¢+$588.37

Under$910.3350.2¢-$910.33

Invested

$378.28

Value

$879.72

PnL

+$501.44

Record

46%

526-624 (1150)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Invested

$518.57

Value

—

PnL

-$518.57

Record

50%

2600-2575 (5175)

Invested

$582.54

Value

—

PnL

-$582.54

Record

60%

1016-678 (1694)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$332.72

Value

$267.93

PnL

+$114.19

Record

55%

1703-1404 (3107)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$374.91

Value

—

PnL

-$272.12

Record

47%

3383-3741 (7124)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$192

Value

—

PnL

-$192

Record

50%

3874-3873 (7747)

Invested

$53.12

Value

—

PnL

-$53.12

Record

49%

1694-1746 (3440)

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfa33901d...cfa174

Slug

cfb-missr-ga-2026-11-14-total-63pt5

Traders in this Market

RN1

Arbitrage — excluded

omnibus-076daa

Over — $879.72

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $0

primm

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $267.93

38791873984189

Under — $0

6512395314597884

Under — $0

Pan9X

Under — $0

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