Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Georgia — but Missouri won instead.
Spread: Georgia (-33.5)
Resolved Missouri. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Georgia. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Georgia 63%
$379.08
-$418
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Missouriavg 48.7¢ | $122.08 | $235.64 | +$113.56 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
LO looppau | Missouriavg 99.9¢ | $103.34 | $103.44 | +$0.1 | 100% 721-0 (721) |
PR primm<$100 | Missouriavg 69¢ | $27.6 | $40 | +$12.4 | 60% 1016-678 (1694) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Georgiaavg 69.3¢ | $88.45 | — | -$88.45 | 50% 3874-3873 (7747) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Georgiaavg 62¢ | $84.92 | — | -$21.92 | 47% 3383-3741 (7124) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Georgiaavg 32.5¢ | $19.82 | — | -$19.82 | 49% 1694-1746 (3440) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Georgiaavg 62¢ | $310 | — | -$310 | 55% 1703-1404 (3107) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR | Georgiaavg 49¢ | $103.88 | — | -$103.88 | 43% 198-262 (460) |
RN1Invested
$122.08
Value
$235.64
PnL
+$113.56
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$103.34
Value
$103.44
PnL
+$0.1
Record
100%
721-0 (721)
Invested
$27.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$12.4
Record
60%
1016-678 (1694)
Invested
$88.45
Value
—
PnL
-$88.45
Record
50%
3874-3873 (7747)
Invested
$84.92
Value
—
PnL
-$21.92
Record
47%
3383-3741 (7124)
Invested
$19.82
Value
—
PnL
-$19.82
Record
49%
1694-1746 (3440)
Invested
$310
Value
—
PnL
-$310
Record
55%
1703-1404 (3107)
Invested
$103.88
Value
—
PnL
-$103.88
Record
43%
198-262 (460)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Missouri — $235.64
looppau
Missouri — $103.44
primm
Missouri — $40
6512395314597884
CTRGeorgia — $0
38791873984189
CTRGeorgia — $0
Pan9X
CTRGeorgia — $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRGeorgia — $0
NatoAlfista
CTRGeorgia — $0