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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Pittsburgh — but Florida State won instead.

Spread: Florida State (-4.5)

Resolved Florida State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Pittsburgh. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Pittsburgh 56%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$101.63

Smart Money Signal

Pittsburgh

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Florida State100%

Pittsburgh0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Florida State4 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,189

Combined PnL+$772.98

Pittsburgh6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,227

Combined PnL-$874.61

Florida State — 40%Pittsburgh — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primm	Florida Stateavg 27¢	$286.64	$1.0K	+$720.36	59% 899-622 (1521)
RN1CTR	Pittsburghavg 73¢	$558.45	—	-$558.45	56% 5073-4021 (9094)
65 6512395314597884CTR	Pittsburghavg 72.8¢	$183.62	—	-$183.62	50% 3689-3644 (7333)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Florida Stateavg 93¢	$93	$100	+$7	59% 3410-2403 (5813)
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100	Pittsburghavg 60¢	$62	—	-$62	44% 422-532 (954)
CM cm2897<$100	Florida Stateavg 59¢	$26.55	$45	+$18.45	49% 1153-1192 (2345)
AM AmericaFirst1<$100	Florida Stateavg 27¢	$10.05	$37.22	+$27.17	47% 72-82 (154)
TA takeormakeCTR<$100	Pittsburghavg 41¢	$23.65	—	-$23.65	58% 3436-2532 (5968)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Pittsburghavg 72.7¢	$46.89	—	-$46.89	49% 1349-1396 (2745)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Pittsburghavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	73% 119-43 (162)

Invested

$286.64

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$720.36

Record

59%

899-622 (1521)

Invested

$558.45

Value

—

PnL

-$558.45

Record

56%

5073-4021 (9094)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$183.62

Value

—

PnL

-$183.62

Record

50%

3689-3644 (7333)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$93

Value

$100

PnL

+$7

Record

59%

3410-2403 (5813)

justaluckydudeCTR<$100

Invested

$62

Value

—

PnL

-$62

Record

44%

422-532 (954)

Invested

$26.55

Value

$45

PnL

+$18.45

Record

49%

1153-1192 (2345)

AmericaFirst1<$100

Invested

$10.05

Value

$37.22

PnL

+$27.17

Record

47%

72-82 (154)

takeormakeCTR<$100

Invested

$23.65

Value

—

PnL

-$23.65

Record

58%

3436-2532 (5968)

Invested

$46.89

Value

—

PnL

-$46.89

Record

49%

1349-1396 (2745)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

73%

119-43 (162)

Smart Money Signal

Pittsburgh

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x42a6392e...b5ac31

Slug

cfb-flst-pitt-2026-11-13-spread-away-4pt5

Traders in this Market

primm

Florida State — $1.0K

RN1

Pittsburgh — $0

6512395314597884

Pittsburgh — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Florida State — $100

justaluckydude

Pittsburgh — $0

cm2897

Florida State — $45

AmericaFirst1

Florida State — $37.22

takeormake

Pittsburgh — $0

Pan9X

Pittsburgh — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Pittsburgh — $0

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