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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Charlotte — but East Carolina won instead.
Spread: Charlotte (-1.5)
Resolved East Carolina. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Charlotte. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Charlotte 83%
Total Value
$288
Combined PnL
-$483.4
Smart Money Signal
Charlotte
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Charlotte0%
East Carolina100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Charlotte5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,267
Combined PnL-$656.2
East Carolina1 trader
Total Value$288
Total Shares288
Combined PnL+$172.8
Charlotte — 83%East Carolina — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Charlotteavg 57¢ | $277.15 | — | -$277.15 | 55% 1658-1357 (3015) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Charlotteavg 51¢ | $204 | — | -$204 | 50% 3828-3802 (7630) |
BI biying88888 | East Carolinaavg 40¢ | $115.2 | $288 | +$172.8 | 44% 206-263 (469) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Charlotteavg 42¢ | $89.04 | — | -$89.04 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Charlotteavg 47.1¢ | $56.01 | — | -$56.01 | 50% 1636-1654 (3290) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Charlotteavg 60¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | 52% 895-837 (1732) |
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$277.15
Value
—
PnL
-$277.15
Record
55%
1658-1357 (3015)
65
6512395314597884CTRInvested
$204
Value
—
PnL
-$204
Record
50%
3828-3802 (7630)
BI
biying88888Invested
$115.2
Value
$288
PnL
+$172.8
Record
44%
206-263 (469)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$89.04
Value
—
PnL
-$89.04
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$56.01
Value
—
PnL
-$56.01
Record
50%
1636-1654 (3290)
NO
NotJumpCTR<$100Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$30
Record
52%
895-837 (1732)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf1e80501...da84df
Slug
cfb-ecar-charlt-2026-11-14-spread-home-1pt5