Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 45.5
Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Over 57%
1 arb excluded
$2.1K
$196.3
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Overavg 44.6¢ | $544.75 | $1.2K | +$653.45 | 55% 5404-4376 (9780) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 76.5¢ | $433.91 | $567.51 | +$133.6 | 55% 1630-1336 (2966) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Overavg 79.3¢ | $206.02 | $120.38 | +$2.74 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 34¢ | $24.48 | — | -$12.32 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 79.3¢ | $95.44 | $120.38 | +$15.06 | |
PA Pan9X | Overavg 56.2¢ | $135.84 | $238 | +$102.16 | 50% 1594-1620 (3214) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $96.91 | — | -$96.91 | 43% 185-243 (428) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Underavg 15¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 50% 3807-3775 (7582) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Underavg 38.9¢ | $596.7 | — | -$596.7 | 47% 540-597 (1137) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 39.2¢ | $5.52 | $9.51 | +$3.99 | 37% 1063-1799 (2862) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $711 | — | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
RN1Invested
$544.75
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$653.45
Record
55%
5404-4376 (9780)
Invested
$433.91
Value
$567.51
PnL
+$133.6
Record
55%
1630-1336 (2966)
Invested
$206.02
Value
$120.38
PnL
+$2.74
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
Both legs:
Invested
$135.84
Value
$238
PnL
+$102.16
Record
50%
1594-1620 (3214)
Invested
$96.91
Value
—
PnL
-$96.91
Record
43%
185-243 (428)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
50%
3807-3775 (7582)
Invested
$596.7
Value
—
PnL
-$596.7
Record
47%
540-597 (1137)
Invested
$5.52
Value
$9.51
PnL
+$3.99
Record
37%
1063-1799 (2862)
Invested
$711
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Over — $1.2K
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over — $567.51
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Pan9X
Over — $238
NatoAlfista
CTRUnder — $0
6512395314597884
CTRUnder — $0
justaluckydude
CTRUnder — $0
topdogbigboi
Over — $9.51
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Over — $0