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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Duke — but Miami (FL) won instead.

Spread: Miami (FL) (-10.5)

Resolved Miami (FL). 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Duke. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Duke 38%

Total Value

$286.85

Combined PnL

$5.49

Smart Money Signal

Duke

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Miami (FL)100%

Duke0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Duke4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares244

Combined PnL-$131.51

Miami (FL)5 traders

Total Value$286.85

Total Shares287

Combined PnL+$137

Duke — 44%Miami (FL) — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884CTR	Dukeavg 55.5¢	$113.73	—	-$113.73	50% 3807-3776 (7583)
38 38791873984189	Miami (FL)avg 55.9¢	$94.46	$114.14	+$48.68	48% 3273-3600 (6873)
PR primm	Miami (FL)avg 48¢	$57.6	$120	+$62.4	59% 932-653 (1585)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Dukeavg 45¢	$16.65	—	-$16.65	50% 1601-1625 (3226)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Miami (FL)avg 49.3¢	$11.15	$22.63	+$11.48	50% 2560-2519 (5079)
MU Multicoloured-Serf<$100	Miami (FL)avg 50¢	$10	$20	+$10	48% 636-676 (1312)
GH ghorrock<$100	Miami (FL)avg 56¢	$5.64	$10.08	+$4.44	53% 1854-1648 (3502)
RN1CTR<$100	Dukeavg 50¢	$1.13	—	-$1.13	55% 5455-4439 (9894)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Dukeavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	69% 134-60 (194)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$113.73

Value

—

PnL

-$113.73

Record

50%

3807-3776 (7583)

Invested

$94.46

Value

$114.14

PnL

+$48.68

Record

48%

3273-3600 (6873)

Invested

$57.6

Value

$120

PnL

+$62.4

Record

59%

932-653 (1585)

Invested

$16.65

Value

—

PnL

-$16.65

Record

50%

1601-1625 (3226)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Invested

$11.15

Value

$22.63

PnL

+$11.48

Record

50%

2560-2519 (5079)

Multicoloured-Serf<$100

Invested

$10

Value

$20

PnL

+$10

Record

48%

636-676 (1312)

Invested

$5.64

Value

$10.08

PnL

+$4.44

Record

53%

1854-1648 (3502)

Invested

$1.13

Value

—

PnL

-$1.13

Record

55%

5455-4439 (9894)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

134-60 (194)

Smart Money Signal

Duke

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x42d1be5e...cafda5

Slug

cfb-duke-mia-2026-11-14-spread-home-10pt5

Traders in this Market

6512395314597884

Duke — $0

38791873984189

Miami (FL) — $114.14

primm

Miami (FL) — $120

Pan9X

Duke — $0

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Miami (FL) — $22.63

Multicoloured-Serf

Miami (FL) — $20

ghorrock

Miami (FL) — $10.08

RN1

Duke — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Duke — $0

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