Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
UD Llanera vs. SD Ponferradina: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
$1.6K
$377.49
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dashattacker | Underavg 75¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$350.33 | 72% 2248-858 (3106) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Overavg 25¢ | $505.7 | $163.54 | -$392.24 | 54% 55451-47514 (102965) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 95¢ | $155.36 | $163.54 | +$9.24 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 25¢ | $350.33 | — | -$401.48 | |
NA NatoAlfista<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $25.68 | $53.5 | +$28.25 | 50% 3681-3661 (7342) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 95¢ | $14.06 | $14.8 | +$0.84 | 54% 2744-2368 (5112) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $0.97 | — | -$1.93 | 60% 9181-6134 (15315) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 53.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44384-30773 (75157) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 24.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24189-23811 (48000) |
BE Betyourself<$100 | Underavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 2212-1238 (3450) |
Invested
$1,051
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$350.33
Record
72%
2248-858 (3106)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$505.7
Value
$163.54
PnL
-$392.24
Record
54%
55451-47514 (102965)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.68
Value
$53.5
PnL
+$28.25
Record
50%
3681-3661 (7342)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$14.06
Value
$14.8
PnL
+$0.84
Record
54%
2744-2368 (5112)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.97
Value
—
PnL
-$1.93
Record
60%
9181-6134 (15315)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44384-30773 (75157)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24189-23811 (48000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
2212-1238 (3450)
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