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NoNoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
CD Tarancón leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$134.1
Combined PnL
$3.13
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$134.1
Total Shares134
Combined PnL+$10.73
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares95
Combined PnL-$7.6
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $87.4 | $95 | +$7.6 | 33% 593-1215 (1808) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $18.4 | $20 | +$1.6 | 34% 610-1204 (1814) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $11.81 | $12.84 | +$1.03 | 35% 622-1179 (1801) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $5.76 | $6.26 | +$0.5 | 33% 589-1191 (1780) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $7.6 | — | -$7.6 | 51% 2691-2616 (5307) |
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$87.4
Value
$95
PnL
+$7.6
Record
33%
593-1215 (1808)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$18.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.6
Record
34%
610-1204 (1814)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$11.81
Value
$12.84
PnL
+$1.03
Record
35%
622-1179 (1801)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.26
PnL
+$0.5
Record
33%
589-1191 (1780)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$7.6
Value
—
PnL
-$7.6
Record
51%
2691-2616 (5307)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3c5269d7...867006
Slug
cdr-cdta-lev-2026-10-28-halftime-result-home