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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will FC Fleury 91 win on 2026-11-14?

Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Yes 38%

Total Value

$171.46

Combined PnL

-$147.24

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$171.46

Total Shares171

Combined PnL+$40.5

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares786

Combined PnL-$187.74

No — 67%Yes — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SL SlickRick123<$100	Noavg 85.3¢	$82.9	$97.16	+$14.26	35% 396-732 (1128)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Noavg 58.2¢	$31.81	$54.66	+$22.85	44% 400-500 (900)
poshposh<$100	Noavg 93¢	$13.79	$14.83	+$1.04	49% 1219-1281 (2500)
SilentSharkCTR	Yesavg 31¢	$183.34	—	-$183.34	— 0-1 (1)
dips.<$100	Noavg 88¢	$2.41	$2.74	+$0.33	47% 1028-1153 (2181)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	$1.9	—	-$1.9	46% 2830-3355 (6185)
0X 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283<$100	Noavg 82¢	$1.64	$2	+$0.36	31% 38-84 (122)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 56.5¢	$9.07	$0.08	+$1.66	39% 3706-5907 (9613)
BL BlackMamba08CTR<$100	Yesavg 50¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	52% 24-22 (46)

SlickRick123<$100

Invested

$82.9

Value

$97.16

PnL

+$14.26

Record

35%

396-732 (1128)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Invested

$31.81

Value

$54.66

PnL

+$22.85

Record

44%

400-500 (900)

Invested

$13.79

Value

$14.83

PnL

+$1.04

Record

49%

1219-1281 (2500)

Invested

$183.34

Value

—

PnL

-$183.34

Record

—

0-1 (1)

Invested

$2.41

Value

$2.74

PnL

+$0.33

Record

47%

1028-1153 (2181)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

46%

2830-3355 (6185)

0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283<$100

Invested

$1.64

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.36

Record

31%

38-84 (122)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

$9.07

Value

$0.08

PnL

+$1.66

Record

39%

3706-5907 (9613)

BlackMamba08CTR<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

52%

24-22 (46)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f8582ce...fd3510

Slug

cde-ves-f91-2026-11-14-f91

Traders in this Market

SlickRick123

No — $97.16

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0

No — $54.66

poshposh

No — $14.83

SilentShark

Yes — $0

dips.

No — $2.74

suntori

Yes — $0

0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283

No — $2

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0.08

BlackMamba08

Yes — $0

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