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UnderOverOver
RN1CTR<$100UnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AS Vitré vs. Saint-Pierre Milizac: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 60%
Total Value
$63.98
Combined PnL
-$369.01
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$44.99
Total Shares1,019
Combined PnL-$378.96
Over2 traders
Total Value$19
Total Shares19
Combined PnL+$9.95
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 38.5¢ | $410.36 | $44.99 | -$365.37 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Overavg 47.4¢ | $5.76 | $12.15 | +$6.39 | 38% 1068-1766 (2834) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $3.29 | $6.85 | +$3.56 | 37% 1048-1799 (2847) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 8.5¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $10.14 | — | -$10.14 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $87 | — | +$0 | 69% 136-62 (198) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$410.36
Value
$44.99
PnL
-$365.37
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$5.76
Value
$12.15
PnL
+$6.39
Record
38%
1068-1766 (2834)
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$3.29
Value
$6.85
PnL
+$3.56
Record
37%
1048-1799 (2847)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$10.14
Value
—
PnL
-$10.14
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
$87
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
136-62 (198)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf637414...6a2ab3
Slug
cde-asv-sai2-2026-11-15-total-2pt5