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UnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Xavier Musketeers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 165.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$2.29
Combined PnL
-$206.99
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$2.29
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.87
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares483
Combined PnL-$207.86
Under — 20%Over — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SU suntori<$100 | Underavg 62¢ | $1.42 | $2.29 | +$0.87 | 45% 2420-2899 (5319) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 42¢ | $163.61 | — | -$163.61 | 57% 3601-2755 (6356) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $3.0K | — | -$41.03 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 40% 639-940 (1579) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 38¢ | $0.87 | — | -$0.87 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
$2.29
PnL
+$0.87
Record
45%
2420-2899 (5319)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$163.61
Value
—
PnL
-$163.61
Record
57%
3601-2755 (6356)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$3,000
Value
—
PnL
-$41.03
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
40%
639-940 (1579)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$0.87
Value
—
PnL
-$0.87
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x91ee8ac1...ec5afc
Slug
cbb-xav-mspst-2026-11-13-total-165pt5