Winthrop Eagles vs. Queens (NC) Royals

8 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Queens (NC) Royals (53%) · Queens (NC) Royals at 96¢ · $3K held · ended Nov 2

Winthrop Eagles4¢Queens (NC) Royals96¢Ended Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Queens (NC) Royals

Consensus Traders

Queens (NC) Royals 53%

Total Value

$3.4K

Combined PnL

$574.09

Smart Money Entry

67.1¢ → 96.2¢

+43% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidQueens (NC) Royals at 96%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Queens (NC) Royals

8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Winthrop Eagles4%

Queens (NC) Royals96%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Queens (NC) Royals8 traders

Total Value$3.2K

Total Shares3,352

Combined PnL+$622.35

Winthrop Eagles7 traders

Total Value$243.2

Total Shares987

Combined PnL-$48.26

Queens (NC) Royals — 53%Winthrop Eagles — 47%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 55.2¢	$1.1K	$2.0K	+$839.41	58% 48522-34672 (83194)
NO NotJump	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 92.9¢	$333.59	$327.14	-$6.45	44% 9904-12850 (22754)
DI dips.	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 96.8¢	$259.31	$258.62	-$0.69	46% 7320-8504 (15824)
38 38791873984189	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 86.1¢	$507.78	$240.26	-$152.05	47% 13029-14600 (27629)
FL Flaznorp	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 87.6¢	$313.38	$238.32	-$75.06	51% 17621-16621 (34242)
FO forecastication4CTR	Winthrop Eaglesavg 38.1¢	$142.65	$144.32	+$1.67	50% 1244-1261 (2505)
FY fydi	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 60¢	$126.02	$141.77	+$15.75	50% 309-314 (623)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 38.7¢	$91	$35.63	-$55.38	51% 1005-965 (1970)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 6¢	$15.24	$22.82	+$7.59	48% 1153-1269 (2422)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 42.1¢	$19.79	$18.85	-$0.93	53% 3131-2737 (5868)
SM smithagent<$100	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 86¢	$12.9	$13.13	+$0.22	48% 3291-3584 (6875)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 22¢	$11	$12	+$1	56% 18394-14718 (33112)
TO torta.tech<$100	Queens (NC) Royalsavg 72¢	$6.48	$7.7	+$1.21	62% 8312-4997 (13309)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 24.3¢	$7.99	$5.28	-$2.71	53% 6378-5764 (12142)
PA panpidaras1CTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 15.5¢	$3.8	$4.3	+$0.5	49% 220-225 (445)

UpTheBlues

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$1,133.34

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$839.41

Record

58%

48522-34672 (83194)

NotJump

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$333.59

Value

$327.14

PnL

-$6.45

Record

44%

9904-12850 (22754)

dips.

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$259.31

Value

$258.62

PnL

-$0.69

Record

46%

7320-8504 (15824)

38791873984189

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$507.78

Value

$240.26

PnL

-$152.05

Record

47%

13029-14600 (27629)

Flaznorp

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$313.38

Value

$238.32

PnL

-$75.06

Record

51%

17621-16621 (34242)

forecastication4CTR

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$142.65

Value

$144.32

PnL

+$1.67

Record

50%

1244-1261 (2505)

fydi

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$126.02

Value

$141.77

PnL

+$15.75

Record

50%

309-314 (623)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$91

Value

$35.63

PnL

-$55.38

Record

51%

1005-965 (1970)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$15.24

Value

$22.82

PnL

+$7.59

Record

48%

1153-1269 (2422)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$19.79

Value

$18.85

PnL

-$0.93

Record

53%

3131-2737 (5868)

smithagent<$100

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$12.9

Value

$13.13

PnL

+$0.22

Record

48%

3291-3584 (6875)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$11

Value

$12

PnL

+$1

Record

56%

18394-14718 (33112)

torta.tech<$100

Queens (NC) Royals

Invested

$6.48

Value

$7.7

PnL

+$1.21

Record

62%

8312-4997 (13309)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$7.99

Value

$5.28

PnL

-$2.71

Record

53%

6378-5764 (12142)

panpidaras1CTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$3.8

Value

$4.3

PnL

+$0.5

Record

49%

220-225 (445)

Research grade

AvoidQueens (NC) Royals at 96%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Queens (NC) Royals

8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Queens (NC) Royals wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance97.3%

96.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$2.74

Max Loss

-$100.00

102.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.