Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 162.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$437.85
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 56.3Β’ | $430.9 | $749.44 | +$318.54 | 51% 2141-2070 (4211) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Underavg 99Β’ | $479.02 | $483.86 | +$4.84 | 99% 197-3 (200) |
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Overavg 54.1Β’ | $824.16 | $117.3 | -$706.87 | 57% 3276-2473 (5749) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 54.1Β’ | $770.88 | β | -$770.88 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 45.4Β’ | $53.28 | $117.3 | +$64.01 | |
38 38791873984189 | Underavg 45.5Β’ | $146.81 | $101.95 | +$132.77 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 53Β’ | $27.66 | $52.16 | +$24.5 | 49% 973-998 (1971) |
![]() alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Overavg 17Β’ | $34.32 | β | -$34.32 | 44% 143-184 (327) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Overavg 53Β’ | $8.48 | β | -$8.48 | 54% 135-114 (249) |
Invested
$430.9
Value
$749.44
PnL
+$318.54
Record
51%
2141-2070 (4211)
Invested
$479.02
Value
$483.86
PnL
+$4.84
Record
99%
197-3 (200)
Invested
$824.16
Value
$117.3
PnL
-$706.87
Record
57%
3276-2473 (5749)
Both legs:
Invested
$146.81
Value
$101.95
PnL
+$132.77
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$27.66
Value
$52.16
PnL
+$24.5
Record
49%
973-998 (1971)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$34.32
Value
β
PnL
-$34.32
Record
44%
143-184 (327)
Invested
$8.48
Value
β
PnL
-$8.48
Record
54%
135-114 (249)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Under β $749.44
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Under β $483.86
HomeRunHazard
ARBArbitrage β excluded
38791873984189
Under β $101.95
ferdinand2
Under β $52.16

alpheclabs2
CTROver β $0
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
CTROver β $0