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UnderOverOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 159.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$104
Combined PnL
-$226.97
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$104
Total Shares104
Combined PnL+$8.44
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares561
Combined PnL-$235.41
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM smithagent | Underavg 90.8¢ | $107.56 | $104 | +$8.44 | 43% 321-434 (755) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 36.9¢ | $92.57 | — | -$92.57 | 48% 1999-2208 (4207) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $99 | — | -$99 | 57% 3430-2600 (6030) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 39.1¢ | $43.84 | — | -$43.84 | 51% 2468-2344 (4812) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 86% 89-14 (103) |
SM
smithagentInvested
$107.56
Value
$104
PnL
+$8.44
Record
43%
321-434 (755)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$92.57
Value
—
PnL
-$92.57
Record
48%
1999-2208 (4207)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
$99
Value
—
PnL
-$99
Record
57%
3430-2600 (6030)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$43.84
Value
—
PnL
-$43.84
Record
51%
2468-2344 (4812)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
86%
89-14 (103)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b1fac39...683719
Slug
cbb-usc-cah-2026-11-11-total-159pt5