Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was George Mason Patriots β but Kansas City Roos won instead.

Spread: George Mason Patriots (-14.5)
Resolved Kansas City Roos. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held George Mason Patriots. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
6
George Mason Patriots 50%
1 arb excluded
$442.04
-$605.61
Smart Money Signal
2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | George Mason Patriotsavg 52.8Β’ | $792.53 | β | -$792.53 | 57% 3458-2629 (6087) |
![]() 0xheavy888 | Kansas City Roosavg 41Β’ | $134.89 | $329 | +$194.11 | 56% 312-248 (560) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | George Mason Patriotsavg 50Β’ | $97.36 | $108 | +$10.64 | 51% 2763-2694 (5457) |
| β George Mason Patriots leg | George Mason Patriotsavg 50Β’ | $50 | β | -$50 | |
| β Kansas City Roos leg | Kansas City Roosavg 43.9Β’ | $47.36 | $108 | +$60.64 | |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | George Mason Patriotsavg 54Β’ | $12.96 | β | -$12.96 | 55% 211-171 (382) |
HI hi774c<$100 | Kansas City Roosavg 45Β’ | $2.27 | $5.04 | +$2.77 | 19% 127-534 (661) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Kansas City Roosavg 50Β’ | $1.0K | β | +$0 | 82% 97-22 (119) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Kansas City Roosavg 41Β’ | $41 | β | +$3 | 53% 852-766 (1618) |
Invested
$792.53
Value
β
PnL
-$792.53
Record
57%
3458-2629 (6087)
0xheavy888Invested
$134.89
Value
$329
PnL
+$194.11
Record
56%
312-248 (560)
Invested
$97.36
Value
$108
PnL
+$10.64
Record
51%
2763-2694 (5457)
Both legs:
Invested
$12.96
Value
β
PnL
-$12.96
Record
55%
211-171 (382)
Invested
$2.27
Value
$5.04
PnL
+$2.77
Record
19%
127-534 (661)
Invested
$1,000
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
97-22 (119)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$41
Value
β
PnL
+$3
Record
53%
852-766 (1618)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
CTRGeorge Mason Patriots β $0

0xheavy888
Kansas City Roos β $329
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
CTRGeorge Mason Patriots β $0
hi774c
Kansas City Roos β $5.04
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Kansas City Roos β $0

VeryLucky888
Kansas City Roos β $0