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UnderUnderUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 147.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$173.96
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares340
Combined PnL-$176.56
Over1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.6
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 52¢ | $146 | — | -$146 | 56% 3787-2956 (6743) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 52¢ | $27.56 | — | -$27.56 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
HI hi774cCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 24% 205-655 (860) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $2.4 | $5 | +$2.6 | 42% 763-1062 (1825) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$146
Value
—
PnL
-$146
Record
56%
3787-2956 (6743)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$27.56
Value
—
PnL
-$27.56
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
HI
hi774cCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
24%
205-655 (860)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
42%
763-1062 (1825)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8f16e6e1...a009b8
Slug
cbb-ucrvs-frest-2026-11-14-total-147pt5