Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Sacramento State Hornets — but UC Davis Aggies won instead.

Spread: Sacramento State Hornets (-3.5)

Resolved UC Davis Aggies. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Sacramento State Hornets. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Sacramento State Hornets 75%

Total Value

Combined PnL

-$131.65

Sacramento State Hornets

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Sacramento State Hornets0%

UC Davis Aggies100%

Sacramento State Hornets4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares245

Combined PnL-$132.81

UC Davis Aggies1 trader

Total Value$2

Total Shares2

Combined PnL+$1.16

Sacramento State Hornets — 80%UC Davis Aggies — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Sacramento State Hornetsavg 55¢	$116.59	—	-$116.59	49% 4509-4779 (9288)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100	Sacramento State Hornetsavg 49¢	$13.72	—	-$13.72	56% 3861-3029 (6890)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Sacramento State Hornetsavg 50¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	42% 810-1105 (1915)
PA Pan9X<$100	UC Davis Aggiesavg 42¢	$0.84	$2	+$1.16	50% 2024-2058 (4082)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Sacramento State Hornetsavg 50¢	$600	—	+$0	65% 142-77 (219)