Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips

8 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Akron Zips (44%) · Akron Zips at 94¢ · $4K held · ended Nov 14

Tulane Green Wave6¢Akron Zips94¢Ended Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Akron Zips

Consensus Traders

Akron Zips 44%

Total Value

$3.7K

Combined PnL

-$196.44

Smart Money Entry

92¢ → 94¢

+2% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidAkron Zips at 94%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Akron Zips

8 of 18 top traders (44%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Tulane Green Wave6%

Akron Zips94%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Akron Zips8 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,523

Combined PnL+$0.38

Tulane Green Wave10 traders

Total Value$441.77

Total Shares6,817

Combined PnL-$196.82

Akron Zips — 44%Tulane Green Wave — 56%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

25% of non-arb traders are on Akron Zips. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleTulane Green Wave 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrTulane Green Wave 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Tulane Green Wave 75% · 8

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Akron Zipsavg 94¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	-$7.53	55% 5370-4319 (9689)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Akron Zipsavg 92¢	$935.67	$940.42	+$4.75	55% 1630-1336 (2966)
0xheavy888	Akron Zipsavg 87¢	$579.42	$579.42	+$0	54% 498-419 (917)
TH thirdt1me	Akron Zipsavg 93.3¢	$476.25	$380	+$5	49% 281-295 (576)
38 38791873984189	Akron Zipsavg 93¢	$187.87	$184.69	-$3.18	48% 3222-3520 (6742)
nigiri99CTR	Tulane Green Waveavg 13¢	$247.91	$114.42	-$133.49	51% 568-535 (1103)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 6.5¢	$96.47	$95.83	-$0.65	37% 964-1664 (2628)
PA Pan9X	Akron Zipsavg 93.6¢	$110.17	$94.12	+$1.34	50% 1593-1618 (3211)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 6.8¢	$82.04	$72.74	-$9.3	37% 972-1637 (2609)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 8¢	$80	$65	-$15	36% 953-1669 (2622)
CI cigarettes<$100	Akron Zipsavg 94¢	$47	$47	+$0	53% 7092-6207 (13299)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 13¢	$67.21	$31.02	-$36.19	45% 261-317 (578)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 6.1¢	$25.5	$24.9	-$0.6	36% 937-1647 (2584)
LO lovefieldCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 14¢	$22.4	$20.8	-$1.6	18% 10-47 (57)
HI hi774cCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 13¢	$16.25	$16.25	+$0	22% 179-619 (798)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Akron Zipsavg 87¢	$4.35	$4.35	+$0	41% 698-1011 (1709)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 13¢	$0.75	$0.75	-$0	56% 3687-2847 (6534)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Tulane Green Waveavg 6¢	$0.06	$0.07	+$0.01	50% 2529-2490 (5019)

RN1

Akron Zips

Invested

$1,036.91

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$7.53

Record

55%

5370-4319 (9689)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Akron Zips

Invested

$935.67

Value

$940.42

PnL

+$4.75

Record

55%

1630-1336 (2966)

0xheavy888

Akron Zips

Invested

$579.42

Value

$579.42

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

498-419 (917)

thirdt1me

Akron Zips

Invested

$476.25

Value

$380

PnL

+$5

Record

49%

281-295 (576)

38791873984189

Akron Zips

Invested

$187.87

Value

$184.69

PnL

-$3.18

Record

48%

3222-3520 (6742)

nigiri99CTR

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$247.91

Value

$114.42

PnL

-$133.49

Record

51%

568-535 (1103)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$96.47

Value

$95.83

PnL

-$0.65

Record

37%

964-1664 (2628)

Pan9X

Akron Zips

Invested

$110.17

Value

$94.12

PnL

+$1.34

Record

50%

1593-1618 (3211)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$82.04

Value

$72.74

PnL

-$9.3

Record

37%

972-1637 (2609)

VenusianCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$80

Value

$65

PnL

-$15

Record

36%

953-1669 (2622)

cigarettes<$100

Akron Zips

Invested

$47

Value

$47

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

7092-6207 (13299)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$67.21

Value

$31.02

PnL

-$36.19

Record

45%

261-317 (578)

LimousinCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$25.5

Value

$24.9

PnL

-$0.6

Record

36%

937-1647 (2584)

lovefieldCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$22.4

Value

$20.8

PnL

-$1.6

Record

18%

10-47 (57)

hi774cCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$16.25

Value

$16.25

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

179-619 (798)

ameisgoat11<$100

Akron Zips

Invested

$4.35

Value

$4.35

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

698-1011 (1709)

HomeRunHazardCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$0.75

Value

$0.75

PnL

-$0

Record

56%

3687-2847 (6534)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Tulane Green Wave

Invested

$0.06

Value

$0.07

PnL

+$0.01

Record

50%

2529-2490 (5019)

Research grade

AvoidAkron Zips at 94%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Akron Zips

8 of 18 top traders (44%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

25% of non-arb traders are on Akron Zips. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleTulane Green Wave 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrTulane Green Wave 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Tulane Green Wave 75% · 8

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Akron Zips wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.2%

94.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.00

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.